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Theresa May: a year in power, the Brexit more nebulous than ever

Ⓒ AFP – Ben STANSALL – | Prime Minister Theresa May leaving 10 Downing Street, after attending the meeting of her government in central London meeting July 11, 2017

His coming to power seemed like a lull in the storm triggered by the vote for the Brexit: a year later Theresa May is a suspended Prime Minister and the outlines of Brexit are increasingly blurred.

So much so that it now appeals to the opposition to “meet the challenges facing the country”, trying to present this sign of weakness as an “adult” way of doing politics, according to its number two Damian Green , After his failure in the legislative elections on 8 June when his Conservative party lost an absolute majority in Parliament.

Ⓒ AFP/Archives – PAUL ELLIS – | The Governor of Bank of England (BoE) Mark Carney delivering his speech to representatives of the City’s financial community at Mansion House on 20 June 2017

Mrs. May, austere 60-year-old pastor’s daughter, had advanced the timetable for these elections, hoping to come out stronger to negotiate the exit of the European Union. Elected at the head of her party on July 11, 2016, and then the government on July 13, in the chaos and murderous struggles between Brexiters who followed the June 23 referendum on the Brexit, she appeared as the sensible person and ” Safe hands “that would lead the country to good harbor.

But the voters put a stop to the hard line that it had adopted and since then it has lost its authority, notes a European diplomatic source.

Theresa May advocated an exit from the European single market and the resumption of border control to limit immigration from EU countries. But his conservative party and his government are still divided on the issue, a historical cleavage between europhiles and europhobes within the Tories that is not about to disappear.

– Will the Brexit take place? –

His Minister of Finance Philip Hammond is an advocate of the business and business circles, the overwhelming majority of whom do not want the Brexit and do not believe in the bright future of the non-EU free trade promised by Mrs. May.

Whether Japan, Australia or the United States, Ms. May’s privileged trade agreements seem to be well-chosen. Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull said on Monday again in London that a free trade agreement with the EU would take precedence over an agreement with the United Kingdom. Japan has just signed up with the EU. And the Americans made it clear that they would not rush to force Ms. May.

His minister of the Brexit, David Davis, a militant Europhobe, has also realized the extent of the consequences of the break with the EU and soften his speech.

Ⓒ AFP – Ben STANSALL – | Brexit Minister David Davis leaving 10 Downing Street after Cabinet meeting July 11, 2017

And not a day passes without a new concession: the European Court of Justice would thus continue to have jurisdiction “for a transitional period” instead of the bridges being cut at the end of the negotiations in March 2019, dropped Damian Green Monday on the BBC.

Everyone now seems to agree – or ultimately realized – that the exit of the EU will be followed by a transition period, time to conclude a free trade agreement and a new customs agreement with Brussels. And gets used to the idea that this transition period will last several years. But the end result is still unclear.

For Theresa May, this must be a “bold and ambitious” agreement. For the EU, there is no question that the United Kingdom can pick what suits it only. “There can be no participation in the single market sector by sector,” repeats the negotiator Michel Barnier.

So much so that some in the United Kingdom dream out loud that the Brexit will not take place, as Vince Cable, the next leader of the Euro-Liberal Democratic party, will do. “I’m starting to think that the Brexit might never happen,” he said on the BBC on Sunday, faced with the enormity of the task and the problems raised.

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